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Hit Rate

The analysis of COF 43 Climate Outlook and the observed JJAS 2016 rainfall categories reveals that there were:

15 Hits and 21 Forecasts zones

Therefore,

Hit Rate (H) = 15/21

= 0.71

= 71% Hit Rate

D o wnl o ad GHACOF-43 Verification document

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GHACOFs	GHACOF 59	GHACOF 58	GHACOF 57	GHACOF 56	GHACOF-55	GHACOF-54	GHACOF-53
HIT RATE %	-	-	-	37	53	84	85
HSS %	-	-	-	5	29	76	77

GHACOFs	GHACOF-52	GHACOF-51	GHACOF-50	GHACOF-49	GHACOF-48	GHACOF-47	GHACOF-46	GHACOF-45	GHACOF-44	GHACOF-44
HIT RATE %	53			71	55	67	58	70	70
HSS %	29			42	11	34	15	39	40

GHACOFs	GHACOF-43	GHACOF-42	GHACOF-41	GHACOF-40	GHACOF-39	GHACOF-38	GHACOF-37	GHACOF-36	GHACOF-35	GHACOF-34
HIT RATE %	71	72	74.6	78	84	73	74	66	76.4	63
HSS %	42	54	49	56	68	46	48	32	52.8	26

GHACOF-33	GHACOF-32	GHACOF-31	GHACOF-30	GHACOF-29	GHACOF-28	GHACOF-27	GHACOF-26	GHACOF-25	GHACOF-24	GHACOF-23
73	67	69	57	71	71	73	75	72	73	63
46	33	38	14	42	42	46	50	44	46	26