In this Climate watch, the ocean-atmosphere phenomenon that often cause greatest disruption of the normal climatic conditions within the GHA such as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) are reviewed together with the potential impact and outlook for the October to December rainfall season. The bulletin also considers the ENSO ...Download

This current climate watch gives an update of the 2015-16 El-Niño phenomenon, as well as the regional climate impacts during the period extending from June 2015 to February 2016. Also included in the discussion are the modification of  ENSO regional impacts by the complex interactions with other global and regional systems such as Indian Ocean ... Download

This current climate watch gives an update of the evolving El-Niño phenomenon, as well as the potential regional climate impacts during the period extending from September 2015 to February 2016. Also included in the discussion are the potential modification of ENSO regional impacts by the complex interactions with other global and regional systems ... Download

El Niño advisory by NOAA indicate that there is an approximately 90% chance that the El Niño will continue through NorthernHemisphere summer 2015, and a greater than 80% chance it will last through 2015(http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc).
El Niño is characterized by unusually warm ocean surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific. The opposite ...Download

Summary: IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) mission is to foster climate information, prediction, timely early warning and applications for disaster risk reduction and sustainable development in the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA). ICPAC also supports all relevant IGAD’s disaster risk reduction programmes and activities including those related to the IGAD Drought ...Download