Main Products
Climate Watch (May 2016)
This current climate watch gives an update of the 2015-16 El-Niño phenomenon ...read more
Latest Products Updates
Regional Consensus Statements
GHACOF 43 Statement
The Forty Third Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF43) was convened from 30 to 31 May 2016 at Enashipai Resort, Naivasha, Kenya by the IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC), and partners to formulate a consensus regional climate outlook for the June to September 2016 rainfall season ... read more
GHACOF 43 Statement
The Forty Third Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF43) was convened from 30 to 31 May 2016 at Enashipai Resort, Naivasha, Kenya by the IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC), and partners to formulate a consensus regional climate outlook for the June to September 2016 rainfall season ... read more
ECMWF’s System-4 Verification against in-situ Observations
March-May (MAM) and October-December (OND) anomaly correlation coefficients and CRPSSs are shown as a function of lead times. As expected the prediction skill declines with increasing lead time.
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Assessment of the skill of ECHAM 4.5 in simulating rainfall on seasonal time scales over the GHA region
The study assessed the skill of ECHAM 4.5 in simulating rainfall on seasonal time scales over the GHA region for the period Jan 1961- Dec 2008. The rainfall seasons considered were,
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Assessment of the reliability and outcomes of GPCs or LCs-LRFMME products
The seasonal rainfall forecasting at ICPAC is usually a hybrid of statistical and dynamical products; the latter being derived from Global Producing Center Models (GPCs) .
Download the full report
Evaluation of Rainfall Baseline and Projections for the Greater Horn of Africa Countries Using Cordex
As a whole, Eastern Africa, including the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) that encompasses the Intergovernmental authority on Development (IGAD) countries together with East Africa region,
Download the full repeort
Verification & Analysis of Temperature and Rainfall in the GHA
The seasonal rainfall forecasting at ICPAC is usually a hybrid of statistical and dynamical products; the latter being derived from Global Producing Center Models (GPCs).
Download the full report
March-May (MAM) and October-December (OND) anomaly correlation coefficients and CRPSSs are shown as a function of lead times. As expected the prediction skill declines with increasing lead time.
Download the full report
Assessment of the skill of ECHAM 4.5 in simulating rainfall on seasonal time scales over the GHA region
The study assessed the skill of ECHAM 4.5 in simulating rainfall on seasonal time scales over the GHA region for the period Jan 1961- Dec 2008. The rainfall seasons considered were,
Download the full report
Assessment of the reliability and outcomes of GPCs or LCs-LRFMME products
The seasonal rainfall forecasting at ICPAC is usually a hybrid of statistical and dynamical products; the latter being derived from Global Producing Center Models (GPCs) .
Download the full report
Evaluation of Rainfall Baseline and Projections for the Greater Horn of Africa Countries Using Cordex
As a whole, Eastern Africa, including the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) that encompasses the Intergovernmental authority on Development (IGAD) countries together with East Africa region,
Download the full repeort
Verification & Analysis of Temperature and Rainfall in the GHA
The seasonal rainfall forecasting at ICPAC is usually a hybrid of statistical and dynamical products; the latter being derived from Global Producing Center Models (GPCs).
Download the full report