Verification Products




 

 


Hit Rate

The analysis of COF 45 Climate Outlook and the observed MAM 2017 rainfall categories reveals that there were:

36 Hits and 51 Forecasts zones

Therefore,

Hit Rate (H) = 36/51

= 0.696

= 69.6% Hit Rate

Download GHACOF-45 Verification document

Download GHACOF Verification documents

HIT RATE %

57.6
69.9
70

71

72

74.6

78

84

73

74

66

76.4

HSS %

15
39
40

42

54

49

56

68

46

48

32

52.8

63
73

-

69

57

-

71

73

75

72

73

63

26

46

-

38

14

-

42

46

50

44

46

26

© 2016 IGAD Climate Prediction & Applications Centre.