Verification Products




Hit Rate

The analysis of COF 44 Climate Outlook and the observed OND 2016 rainfall categories reveals that there were:

37 Hits  and 52 Forecasts zones

Therefore, 

Hit Rate (H) = 36.5/52

= 0.70

= 70% Hit Rate

Download GHACOF-44 Verification document

Download GHACOF Verification documents

HIT RATE %

70

71

72

74.6

78

84

73

74

66

76.4

63

HSS %

40

42

54

49

56

68

46

48

32

52.8

26

73

-

69

57

-

71

73

75

72

73

63

-

46

-

38

14

-

42

46

50

44

46

26

-

© 2016 IGAD Climate Prediction & Applications Centre.