Verification Products





Hit Rate

The analysis of COF 49 Climate Outlook and the observed JJAS 2018 rainfall categories reveals that there were:

32 Hits and 45 Forecasts zones

Therefore,

Hit Rate (H) = 32/45

= 0.71

= 71% Hit Rate


Download GHACOF-49 Verification document

Download GHACOF Verification documents
COF SEASON/YEAR HIT RATE HSS
49 COF49 JJAS2018 71 42
48 COF48 MAM2018 55 11
47 COF47 OND2017 67 34
46 COF46 JJAS2017 58 15
45 COF45 MAM2017 70 39
44 COF44 OND2016 70 40
43 COF43 JJAS2016 71 42
42 COF42 MAM2016 77 54
41 COF41 SOND2015 75 49
40 COF40 JJA2015 78 56
39 COF39 MAM2015 84 68
38 COF38 SOND2014 73 46
37 COF37 JJA2014 74 48
36 COF36 MAM2014 66 32
35 COF35 SOND2013 76 53
34 COF34 JJA2013 63 26
33 COF33 MAM2013 73 46
32 COF32 SOND2012 67 33
31 COF31 JJA2012 69 38
30 COF30 MAM2012 57 14
29 COF29 SOND2011 71 42
28 COF28 JJA2011 71 42
27 COF27 MAM2011 73 46
26 COF26 SOND2010 75 50
25 COF25 MAM2010 72 44
COF SEASON/YEAR HIT RATE HSS
24 COF24 SOND2009 73 46
23 COF23 MAM2009 63 26
22 COF22 SOND2008 72 43
21 COF21 MAM2008 76 52
20 COF20 SOND2007 83 66
19 COF19 MAM2007 79 59
18 COF18 SOND2006 58 16
17 COF17 MAM2006 71 42
16 COF16 SOND2005 56 11
15 COF15 MAM2005 73 45
14 COF14 SOND2004 74 47
13 COF13 MAM2004 77 54
12 COF12 SOND2003 70 40
11 COF11 MAM2003 71 41
10 COF10 SOND2002 71 42
9 COF9 MAM2002 68 36
8 COF8 SOND2001 70 40
7 COF7 MAM2001 85 70
6 COF6 SOND2000 56 13
5 COF5 MAM2000 65 30
4 COF4 SOND1999 72 44
3 COF3 MAM1999 67 35
2 COF2 SOND1998 65 29
1 COF1 MAM1998 71 41
© 2016 IGAD Climate Prediction & Applications Centre.