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ICPAC routinely produces Seasonal Consensus Outlooks every season, one-to-two-month lead monthly and seasonal deterministic (WRF) and probabilistic (GCM) bias – corrected forecasts of precipitation and 2M-temperature for GHA. Data for seven GCMs are obtained every month from IRI data library.
Consensus Outlook for JJA 2017

Climate Outlook


GCM Forecast for JJA 2017
Ensemble_Prec_1monLead_JJA_EmprCDF_BsC Ensemble_Prec_1monLead_JJA_Total_BsC

 Precipitation Terciles - Bias Corrected

Precipitation Total - Bias Corrected

WRF Forecast for JJA 2017
WRF_Prec_1monLeadJJA_Total WRF_TT2m_1monLeadJJA_Avg

Precipitation Total

Temperature Average

© 2016 IGAD Climate Prediction & Applications Centre.